Mathematical Modeling of TB hotspots and transmission potential in Dhaka North City Corporation (DNCC) and Dhaka South City Corporation (DSCC)

Sourya Shrestha1, Isabella Gomes1, Jeffrey Pennington1, Mehdi Reja2,3, Shamiul Islam4, Abu Jamil Faisel2,3, Ahmadul Hasan Khan4, Oscar Cordon2,5, Tapash Roy3, Hamidah Hussain2,6, David Dowdy1

1 Johns Hopkins School of Public Health, Baltimore, Maryland, USA

2 Challenge TB Bangladesh

3 IRD Bangladesh

4 National Tuberculosis Control Program (NTP), Bangladesh

5 Management Sciences for Health (MSH)

6 IRD Global

This page shows maps of tuberculosis (TB) notifications at the ward level in the two city corporations comprising Dhaka, Bangladesh: Dhaka North City Corporation (DNCC) and Dhaka South City Corporation (DSCC). We also show estimates of the potential five- and ten-year reductions in TB incidence that could be achieved with population-level interventions including active case finding (ACF), preventive therapy (PT), and the combination of both (ACF + PT). Finally, we illustrate the additional benefit of using notification data to target these interventions to high-incidence "hotspots" within the city.

Dhaka North City Corporation
Dhaka South City Corporation

Disclaimer: The Global Health Bureau, Office of Infectious Diseases, US Agency for International Development, financially supported this publication through Challenge TB under the terms of Agreement No. AID-OAA-A-14-00029. This publication is made possible by the generous support of the American People through the United States Agency for International Development (USAID). The contents are the responsibility of The Johns Hopkins University (JHU) and do not necessarily reflect the view of USAID or the United States Government.